A friend and I were kicking around goals yesterday. My goal in broad strokes is 100 lbs in 100 weeks, or roughly two years from now, but we were both wondering how much more might be realistic, so I went a’googling and came up with these results for gastric bypass surgery from Obesity Coverage. Since what I’m doing now is in lieu of that surgery, I figure it’s a good rule of thumb, If you’re interested in making the calculations, you can find all the links to the calculations for yourself and how the company uses them on their website. They offer a number of ranges to choose from, but on the site they work from the highest numbers from the results to give a conservative average expected result.
Given that I’m 5’1″ and I weighed 290 lbs at last weigh-in, I went with the top end of the healthy BMI recommendation, which is 132 lbs. I think I hit the 132 point sometime in junior high; by my sophomore year I was carrying around 165 lbs and riding my bike three miles a day to and from school. When the storms were too fierce to ride, I pushed the bike, so I could use the basket and rack to carry my stuff. I learned to tack against the wind, and I imagined when I caught the wind in my coat like a sail that it sped me on my way. Since then, when questions of losing weight come up, I’ve secretly hoped to get down to 165 lbs of round body and hard muscles again.
Obesity Coverage works with the highest score for calculating an average, which makes sense to me, then applies the known results from the surgery as follows.
Current weight 290 – ideal weight 132.3 = excess 157.7 Excess *.7 = expected weight loss 110.4
Current 290 – expected 110.4 = post surgery weight 179.6
So, maybe 165 is possible, but it’s more likely I can hold at 180. My maternal grandmother weighed 180 most or all of the thirty years I knew her. She was a formidable red-haired woman of many skills and talents, maybe three inches taller than I, who raised four kids to adulthood through the Dust Bowl and Great Depression. She saved my family’s butts from being homeless or stuck out in the country without transportation more than once while I was growing up, too. Grandma laughed easily, and she knew how to let a lot of stuff slide without ranting or preaching, but she had a tone that snapped like the crack of a riding crop when she’d borne enough crap from one of her kids. I only heard it twice in my life, after I was grown. Both times, it was unmistakable, deserved, and short, and matters were corrected as fast as possible. Grandma Ray persevered for 88 years doing what she felt was right. She and her children are long passed, and her scattered grandchildren are grown gray- and white-headed in turn, but I think of her often now as I grow older and have my own choices to make as to how I will live and what I might teach in the next twenty or thirty years of my life.
For the necessary record, July 17, 2017: 1330 calories consumed, mostly in a delightful grilled cheese sandwich. No exercise.